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Research model puts new Covid-19 cases at 5,000 in March

Daily Covid-19 cases in March could be as much as 5,000 cases, according to modelling by a US-based institute. (Bernama pic)

PETALING JAYA: A US-based research institute’s modelling of the Covid-19 pandemic in Malaysia reportedly projected the country could record over 5,000 new cases in a day next March if mask use does not reach 95% of Malaysians.

The projections were made by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) using a model that was also used by the Trump administration, according to CodeBlue, a health news portal.

“The projection is based on a situation where there’s no Covid-19 vaccine available yet,” the report said. Details of the model used were not available.

The model showed a peak of over 2,200 cases in February if 95% of Malaysians wore face masks, and coupled with a wide distribution of a vaccine over 90 days. The number of positive cases would then decline to just below 2,000 by April.

But if 95% mask usage was not achieved together with vaccination, daily infections were projected to reach just over 5,300 by April, the report said.

The institute noted that only 78% of Malaysians have been wearing face masks since the Covid-19 outbreak began.

It also projected the Covid-19 death toll in Malaysia to reach just over 1,300 by April, compared with the 402 deaths recorded so far.

CLICK HERE FOR THE LATEST DATA ON THE COVID-19 SITUATION IN MALAYSIA

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